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Red277
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
Blue192
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28218250100150200250300350277192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+63Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
12Coral scored#6
58Coral points31
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +42
35Coral scored#25
125Coral points89
5Processor algae#4
7Net algae#7
30Processor points24
28Net points28
58Algae points52
183Total teleop141
Reef
21L4#17
8L3#6
12L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
59Game pieces#42
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
277Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.70.7
83.584.2
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
red by 8.1
76.70.1
73.173.1
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
Second
84.70.7
83.484.1
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
red by 14.7
69.90.1
66.466.4
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
Third
33
#1
83.50.7
82.383.0
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
red by 44.6
503
#5
38.90.1
35.335.4
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed