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Red164
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
Blue227
439860.5
171147.2
376785.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165203100150250300164227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+63
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points35
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +52
20Coral scored#31
71Coral points113
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#8
18Processor points12
16Net points32
34Algae points44
105Total teleop157
Reef
11L4#11
5L3#11
5L2#9
4L1 · trough#7
32Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
164Total score227

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.50.9
58.859.7
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
blue by 21.9
85.43.2
79.883.0
Auto18.4
Teleop58.9
End8.0
Second
54.60.9
49.950.8
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
blue by 5.9
60.53.2
54.958.1
Auto8.3
Teleop51.4
End0.8
Third
573
#6
43.30.9
38.639.5
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
blue by 4.0
47.23.2
41.744.8
Auto9.4
Teleop30.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed