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Red273
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
Blue237
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276252200300350273237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points38
51Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +16
35Coral scored#32
126Coral points116
4Processor algae#3
9Net algae#9
24Processor points18
36Net points36
60Algae points54
186Total teleop170
Reef
12L4#14
15L3#13
8L2#9
10L1 · trough#4
58Game pieces#52
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
273Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.71.0
84.285.3
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
blue by 5.8
90.50.4
96.496.0
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
Second
84.71.0
84.185.2
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
blue by 3.5
88.10.4
94.093.6
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
Third
33
#1
83.51.0
83.084.0
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
red by 41.5
42.00.4
47.947.5
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed