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Red280
170176.8
776983.2
439190.3
Blue223
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296188100150250350280223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+67Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +67
39Coral scored#31
140Coral points111
3Processor algae#2
13Net algae#5
18Processor points12
52Net points20
70Algae points32
210Total teleop143
Reef
19L4#12
13L3#10
6L2#10
8L1 · trough#6
62Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
280Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.30.3
91.391.0
Auto16.6
Teleop63.6
End10.1
red by 13.7
76.71.2
73.174.4
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
Second
83.20.3
84.283.8
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End10.6
red by 13.3
69.91.2
66.467.6
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
Third
76.80.3
77.877.4
Auto20.4
Teleop47.4
End8.9
red by 37.9
503
#5
38.91.2
35.436.6
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed