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Red240
439860.5
171147.2
376785.4
Blue280
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191289100150250240280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
7Coral scored#10
34Coral points51
37Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +13
34Coral scored#39
121Coral points140
4Processor algae#5
8Net algae#5
24Processor points30
32Net points20
56Algae points50
177Total teleop190
Reef
15L4#21
14L3#13
5L2#6
7L1 · trough#9
53Game pieces#59
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
240Total score280

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.42.3
83.085.3
Auto18.4
Teleop58.9
End8.0
red by 0.6
84.70.4
85.385.6
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
Second
60.52.3
58.160.5
Auto8.3
Teleop51.4
End0.8
blue by 24.2
84.70.4
85.285.5
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
Third
47.22.3
44.847.2
Auto9.4
Teleop30.6
End7.2
blue by 36.3
33
#1
83.50.4
84.084.4
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed