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Red197
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
Blue185
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167207100150250300197185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+8
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +6
25Coral scored#26
91Coral points93
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
30Processor points18
20Net points24
50Algae points42
141Total teleop135
Reef
11L4#11
9L3#11
4L2#8
6L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#44
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
197Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.52.3
59.762.0
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
blue by 13.2
76.70.3
74.474.1
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
Second
54.62.3
50.853.2
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
blue by 15.3
69.90.3
67.667.4
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
Third
573
#6
43.32.3
39.541.8
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
red by 4.4
503
#5
38.90.3
36.636.3
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed