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Red249
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
Blue242
170176.8
776983.2
439190.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257286200300350249242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +7
38Coral scored#33
136Coral points117
5Processor algae#3
4Net algae#10
30Processor points18
16Net points40
46Algae points58
182Total teleop175
Reef
20L4#17
16L3#9
8L2#9
4L1 · trough#7
57Game pieces#55
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
249Total score242

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.50.1
96.096.1
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
red by 0.2
90.31.5
91.089.5
Auto16.6
Teleop63.6
End10.1
Second
88.10.1
93.693.7
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
red by 5.0
83.21.5
83.882.3
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End10.6
Third
42.00.1
47.547.6
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
blue by 34.8
76.81.5
77.476.0
Auto20.4
Teleop47.4
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed