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Red221
439860.5
171147.2
376785.4
Blue198
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210194100150250300350221198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points37
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +20
30Coral scored#21
107Coral points77
2Processor algae#5
9Net algae#7
12Processor points30
36Net points28
48Algae points58
155Total teleop135
Reef
10L4#9
13L3#10
6L2#5
8L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
221Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.41.5
85.386.8
Auto18.4
Teleop58.9
End8.0
red by 8.7
76.71.0
74.175.1
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
Second
60.51.5
60.561.9
Auto8.3
Teleop51.4
End0.8
blue by 9.4
69.91.0
67.468.4
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
Third
47.21.5
47.248.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.6
End7.2
red by 8.4
503
#5
38.91.0
36.337.3
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed