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Red145
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
Blue230
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162266100200250300350145230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+85
Endgame+85
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave0
4Coral scored#10
20Coral points48
26Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +63
21Coral scored#32
75Coral points116
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
12Processor points18
16Net points32
28Algae points50
103Total teleop166
Reef
9L4#16
9L3#12
3L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#53
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
0Foul points0
145Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.51.4
62.060.6
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
blue by 27.0
90.51.0
96.195.0
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
Second
54.61.4
53.251.8
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
blue by 33.5
88.11.0
93.792.7
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
Third
573
#6
43.31.4
41.840.5
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
red by 1.3
42.01.0
47.646.5
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed