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Red280
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
Blue196
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31016350100200250350400280196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+74Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points41
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +67
39Coral scored#18
141Coral points64
2Processor algae#3
10Net algae#11
12Processor points18
40Net points44
52Algae points62
193Total teleop126
Reef
11L4#9
13L3#7
14L2#6
10L1 · trough#4
60Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
280Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.70.4
86.887.2
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
red by 21.3
63.52.0
60.662.6
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
Second
84.70.4
86.787.2
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
red by 30.0
54.62.0
51.853.8
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
Third
33
#1
83.50.4
85.686.0
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
red by 40.2
573
#6
43.32.0
40.542.4
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed