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Red203
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
Blue206
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188252100150200300203206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points49
51Total auto55
TeleoperatedBlue +3
27Coral scored#25
98Coral points89
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
126Total teleop129
Reef
13L4#18
10L3#10
7L2#4
7L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
203Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.70.9
75.176.0
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
blue by 13.9
90.52.9
95.092.2
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
Second
69.90.9
68.469.3
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
blue by 18.2
88.12.9
92.789.8
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
Third
503
#5
38.90.9
37.338.2
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
blue by 3.1
42.02.9
46.543.7
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed