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Red209
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
Blue319
170176.8
776983.2
439190.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176304100150200250350209319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+100
Endgame+110
Fouls+110
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points45
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +79
29Coral scored#43
105Coral points156
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#13
24Processor points24
24Net points52
48Algae points76
153Total teleop232
Reef
14L4#22
11L3#11
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#11
45Game pieces#69
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +110
0Foul points0
209Total score319

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.51.2
62.663.8
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
blue by 26.8
90.32.2
90.692.8
Auto16.6
Teleop63.6
End10.1
Second
54.61.2
53.855.0
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
blue by 28.5
83.22.2
83.585.6
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End10.6
Third
573
#6
43.31.2
42.443.6
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
blue by 33.5
76.82.2
77.179.2
Auto20.4
Teleop47.4
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed