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Red208
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
Blue281
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195299100150250350208281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+65
Endgame+67
Fouls+73
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +65
28Coral scored#42
102Coral points151
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#9
18Processor points18
20Net points36
38Algae points54
140Total teleop205
Reef
8L4#20
15L3#12
10L2#10
4L1 · trough#8
45Game pieces#62
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points6
208Total score281

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.70.6
76.075.4
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
blue by 8.1
84.71.2
87.286.0
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
Second
69.90.6
69.368.6
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
blue by 14.7
84.71.2
87.285.9
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
Third
503
#5
38.90.6
38.237.6
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
blue by 44.6
33
#1
83.51.2
86.084.8
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed