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Qual 432025 Kettering All-Star Alliance Invitational
Red152
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
Blue209
439860.5
171147.2
376785.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180223100150200250300350152209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+67
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
20Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +54
16Coral scored#32
56Coral points116
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#7
24Processor points18
28Net points28
52Algae points46
108Total teleop162
Reef
6L4#16
6L3#6
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#8
30Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
152Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#6
63.51.2
63.8→62.6
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
blue by 21.9
3767
#4
85.40.3
86.5→86.8
Auto18.4
Teleop58.9
End8.0
Second
2960
#6
54.61.2
55.0→53.7
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
blue by 5.9
4398
#4
60.50.3
61.7→61.9
Auto8.3
Teleop51.4
End0.8
Third
573
#6
43.31.2
43.6→42.4
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
blue by 4.0
1711
#4
47.20.3
48.4→48.7
Auto9.4
Teleop30.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed