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Red259
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
Blue211
341469.9
50338.9
283276.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310206100150250350259211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+52Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
10Coral scored#4
48Coral points21
54Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +28
34Coral scored#25
123Coral points91
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#9
18Processor points18
32Net points36
50Algae points54
173Total teleop145
Reef
20L4#10
9L3#12
10L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
55Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +48
6Foul points0
259Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.70.6
86.485.8
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
red by 8.1
76.70.1
76.476.5
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
Second
84.70.6
86.385.7
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
red by 14.7
69.90.1
69.769.8
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
Third
33
#1
83.50.6
85.184.5
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
red by 44.6
503
#5
38.90.1
38.738.7
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9