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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137111406080100120160180200150117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+41Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points19
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +27
24Coral scored#16
87Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
111Total teleop84
Reef
11L4#6
6L3#7
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
150Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.6
57.257.8
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 7.6
50.20.2
50.050.2
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
Second
43.60.6
43.043.6
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 11.9
1684
#24
31.70.2
31.531.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Third
9251
#34
16.80.6
16.216.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 2.9
3098
#27
19.70.2
19.519.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0