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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135113608010012016018013895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+45Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave0
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points22
37Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +30
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points43
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
97Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
138Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.2
57.057.2
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 7.6
50.20.4
50.450.0
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
Second
43.60.2
42.843.0
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 11.9
1684
#24
31.70.4
31.931.5
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Third
9251
#34
16.80.2
16.016.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 2.9
3098
#27
19.70.4
19.919.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0