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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201126080100140160180200107124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+11
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points19
23Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +22
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points44
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
6Processor points18
20Net points28
26Algae points46
68Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#3
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points6
107Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.1
46.246.2
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
blue by 4.0
50.20.4
50.050.4
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
Second
42.20.1
42.142.2
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
red by 10.5
1684
#24
31.70.4
31.531.9
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Third
9237
#38
15.70.1
15.715.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 4.0
3098
#27
19.70.4
19.519.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0