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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11392608010012014016018014794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+25Teleop
+33Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
18Coral scored#12
66Coral points42
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
94Total teleop72
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +53
20Foul points0
147Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.20.3
49.750.0
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
red by 13.3
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
Second
1684
#24
31.70.3
31.231.5
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
red by 5.2
5907
#18
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
Third
3098
#27
19.70.3
19.219.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
blue by 0.2
5612
#30
19.90.0
20.019.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End1.9