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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511780100160180107106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+3
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points44
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
69Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +1
6Foul points2
107Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.4
57.557.0
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 11.6
46.20.1
46.246.2
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
43.60.4
43.242.8
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 1.4
42.20.1
42.242.1
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
Third
9251
#34
16.80.4
16.516.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
red by 1.1
9237
#38
15.70.1
15.715.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8