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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113764060100140160180140106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+44Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points6
26Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#14
64Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
98Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#6
8L3#5
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
140Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.20.7
49.149.7
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
red by 19.6
7784
#14
30.60.6
30.130.6
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
Second
1684
#24
31.70.7
30.631.2
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
red by 3.7
6078
#10
28.00.6
27.528.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Third
3098
#27
19.70.7
18.619.2
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
red by 6.2
13.60.6
12.913.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7