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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66760501001502006941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+16Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +13
9Coral scored#7
32Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
46Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
69Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.5
20.420.9
Auto6.9
Teleop21.9
End4.0
red by 7.5
8426
#35
25.33.4
22.719.3
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Second
5046
#11
23.40.5
18.218.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
blue by 0.8
9572
#33
24.23.4
21.217.8
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Third
6085
#25
20.50.5
20.220.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
red by 8.7
3568
#17
11.83.4
22.118.7
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed