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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678002040601001201406316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+43Teleop
+41Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
8Coral scored#2
28Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
46Total teleop6
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
6Foul points0
63Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3667
#12
27.50.3
23.923.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.4
End1.8
red by 1.0
5907
#18
26.55.9
33.627.7
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
Second
5878
#20
19.90.3
18.718.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
red by 7.6
9731
#26
12.35.9
17.811.9
Auto1.8
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Third
9251
#34
16.80.3
17.517.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
red by 7.1
5527
#32
9.75.9
17.711.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed