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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979640608012014051108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +31
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
36Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points6
51Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#15
24.43.1
27.224.1
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
blue by 25.8
50.20.2
30.330.5
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
Second
314
#29
15.85.2
26.721.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
blue by 21.1
36.90.2
32.332.5
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
Third
9237
#38
15.75.2
24.319.1
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 4.0
3098
#27
19.70.2
19.719.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned