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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845920401001209758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
53Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
12Foul points6
97Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.21.3
36.137.4
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
red by 22.2
6078
#10
28.00.6
23.723.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Second
29.11.3
27.729.0
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
red by 8.7
6085
#25
20.50.6
18.718.1
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Third
13.61.3
9.210.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
red by 2.3
5517
#23
11.30.6
14.614.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed