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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9741020608012014011931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+66Teleop
+88Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
3Leave0
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
22Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
11Coral scored#4
39Coral points13
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
12Processor points0
20Net points8
32Algae points8
71Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points0
119Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.23.8
38.142.0
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 31.5
9242
#28
14.71.9
18.616.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
Second
8426
#35
25.33.8
15.118.9
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
red by 13.6
3568
#17
11.81.9
13.711.9
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End-0.3
Third
5561
#15
24.42.3
22.725.0
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
red by 14.7
5527
#32
9.71.9
7.15.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed