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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425002060806738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
10Coral scored#5
37Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
47Total teleop25
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
67Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3667
#12
27.53.0
17.820.8
Auto6.4
Teleop19.4
End1.8
red by 7.6
5878
#20
19.90.7
20.419.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
Second
9662
#19
20.33.0
13.716.7
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End1.3
red by 4.5
314
#29
15.80.7
13.512.8
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
Third
6091
#13
15.03.0
8.611.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End1.3
blue by 0.4
4961
#21
15.40.7
10.69.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed