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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369902060801201401601795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+78
Endgame+80
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
3Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +62
3Coral scored#15
10Coral points54
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
10Total teleop72
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
2Foul points0
17Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#11
23.43.3
15.612.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
blue by 34.4
57.80.9
41.942.8
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
Second
453
#16
12.83.3
14.711.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 20.0
32.80.9
26.127.0
Auto6.9
Teleop21.9
End4.0
Third
5183
#22
11.63.3
8.55.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 5.2
9251
#34
16.80.9
13.214.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed