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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9072204060801001201407164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points28
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
0Processor points12
16Net points12
16Algae points24
48Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
71Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.21.1
36.635.5
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
red by 10.5
1684
#24
31.70.4
22.622.1
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Second
5907
#18
26.51.1
23.922.9
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
red by 2.3
9572
#33
24.20.4
25.425.0
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Third
3098
#27
19.71.1
16.915.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
blue by 0.2
5612
#30
19.90.4
17.216.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed