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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions984502060801201401609438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+56Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +39
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
67Total teleop28
Reef
9L4#2
5L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
94Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.8
35.035.9
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 27.9
9237
#38
15.71.3
17.015.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8
Second
36.90.8
33.834.6
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
red by 22.3
7772
#36
14.51.3
10.08.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Third
4395
#37
12.20.8
11.612.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End3.2
blue by 0.1
9731
#26
12.31.3
17.416.2
Auto1.8
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed