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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716902040608010012014016088112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
6Processor points6
12Net points24
18Algae points30
56Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points12
88Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.22.5
37.439.9
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
red by 19.6
7784
#14
30.62.3
23.826.1
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
Second
6610
#39
14.92.5
13.115.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
blue by 12.7
3667
#12
27.53.9
20.824.6
Auto6.4
Teleop19.4
End1.8
Third
9255
#31
12.82.5
12.114.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 7.6
6085
#25
20.53.9
18.122.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed