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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439602060801201405196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +30
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
36Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
51Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8426
#35
25.30.5
18.919.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
blue by 20.9
46.21.4
42.043.3
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
9662
#19
20.30.5
16.717.2
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End1.3
blue by 8.9
29.11.4
29.030.4
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
Third
13.60.5
10.611.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 2.2
314
#29
15.81.4
12.814.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned