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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55592030405070806459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points1
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
51Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
64Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#10
28.00.8
23.224.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
red by 8.1
5878
#20
19.90.1
19.719.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
Second
5907
#18
26.50.8
22.923.7
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
red by 6.8
3098
#27
19.70.1
15.916.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
Third
5183
#22
11.60.8
5.26.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 3.1
9242
#28
14.70.1
16.816.9
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed