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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5810820408010012014016065164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+49
Endgame+57
Fouls+99
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +35
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
12Processor points12
4Net points24
16Algae points36
50Total teleop85
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +99
0Foul points42
65Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#15
24.40.8
24.023.1
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
blue by 21.8
46.21.3
41.542.8
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
453
#16
12.81.3
13.612.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 13.7
5907
#18
26.51.3
27.428.7
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
Third
9731
#26
12.31.3
13.512.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 11.2
5046
#11
23.41.3
19.420.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned