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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66782040601001201407490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
61Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points6
74Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7784
#14
30.60.8
29.830.6
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
blue by 15.6
46.21.5
42.844.3
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
9662
#19
20.31.2
18.319.5
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End1.3
red by 5.5
9242
#28
14.71.5
16.818.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
Third
3098
#27
19.71.2
13.714.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
red by 8.1
5183
#22
11.61.5
8.510.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned