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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646702040801001201401606852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+22Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
6Coral scored#6
23Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
33Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points6
68Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#10
28.01.2
22.623.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
red by 3.8
9572
#33
24.21.3
25.724.4
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Second
5046
#11
23.41.2
20.821.9
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
red by 8.4
6091
#13
15.01.3
16.314.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Third
9731
#26
12.31.2
12.313.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 2.6
6610
#39
14.91.3
17.916.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed