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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899075808595100105110115103115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+24
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +35
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
58Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#7
2L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
12Foul points0
103Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.21.1
45.346.4
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
blue by 7.6
57.83.4
49.252.6
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
Second
1684
#24
31.71.1
24.325.4
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
red by 6.4
8426
#35
25.33.4
21.825.2
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Third
4395
#37
12.21.1
10.311.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End3.2
red by 2.5
5527
#32
9.73.4
9.112.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed