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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975102040608012014011171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +30
18Coral scored#14
63Coral points49
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
18Processor points6
8Net points4
26Algae points10
89Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#5
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points2
111Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.21.9
41.143.0
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
red by 21.8
6085
#25
20.50.7
17.818.5
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Second
5561
#15
24.41.3
23.124.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
red by 8.7
9237
#38
15.70.7
12.813.5
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8
Third
4961
#21
15.41.9
9.511.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End0.4
red by 2.6
9255
#31
12.80.7
14.615.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed