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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868240601001206264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
40Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
62Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.21.2
43.041.9
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
blue by 8.0
50.20.9
46.445.5
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
Second
5878
#20
19.91.2
20.519.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
red by 4.1
314
#29
15.80.9
15.814.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
Third
4395
#37
12.21.2
11.410.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End3.2
blue by 0.6
453
#16
12.80.9
11.911.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed