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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586902040801001206757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
54Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
67Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9572
#33
24.21.1
24.425.5
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
blue by 7.5
1684
#24
31.70.3
25.425.0
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Second
6085
#25
20.51.1
18.519.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
blue by 2.9
5046
#11
23.40.3
21.921.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
Third
4961
#21
15.41.1
11.412.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End0.4
blue by 1.4
9251
#34
16.80.3
13.313.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed