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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476502040801001206851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
9Coral scored#8
33Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
51Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points0
68Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.5
24.826.3
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
red by 2.6
5907
#18
26.50.5
26.325.8
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
Second
5183
#22
11.61.5
10.011.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 4.1
9237
#38
15.70.5
13.513.0
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8
Third
5517
#23
11.31.5
10.612.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 3.6
6610
#39
14.90.5
16.516.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed