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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7747020406010012014010980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+43Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
77Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#3
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +14
6Cage & park20
6Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
109Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.22.5
42.845.2
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 22.8
5046
#11
23.41.8
21.623.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
Second
9251
#34
16.82.5
13.015.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 2.9
3098
#27
19.71.8
14.015.8
Auto3.8
Teleop14.0
End2.0
Third
4961
#21
15.42.5
12.615.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End0.4
red by 3.2
4395
#37
12.21.8
10.312.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned