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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71632040801001206643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +16
10Coral scored#7
35Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
45Total teleop29
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points6
66Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.2
35.235.1
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End3.4
red by 12.7
9572
#33
24.21.7
25.523.8
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
Second
314
#29
15.80.2
14.914.8
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
red by 1.1
9242
#28
14.71.7
17.115.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
Third
9731
#26
12.30.2
11.911.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 0.6
9255
#31
12.81.7
15.113.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed