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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976420408012014016014777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
90Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
30Foul points0
147Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.81.8
54.055.9
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 27.2
7784
#14
30.60.2
29.629.8
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
Second
9662
#19
20.31.8
20.021.9
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End1.3
red by 0.4
5878
#20
19.90.2
19.419.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
Third
3568
#17
11.81.8
8.410.2
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End-0.3
blue by 1.0
453
#16
12.80.2
11.011.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed