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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3310605015039112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+59
Endgame+55
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#14
15Coral points50
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
23Total teleop68
Reef
1L4#7
2L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points18
39Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9237
#38
15.70.2
13.012.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 27.9
43.60.1
43.143.2
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
Second
5517
#23
11.30.2
12.111.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 14.1
8426
#35
25.30.1
23.924.0
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Third
5527
#32
9.70.2
11.611.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End2.1
blue by 10.7
6085
#25
20.50.1
19.719.8
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed