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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828350607090100110120130135137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
+4Endgame
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#18
56Coral points66
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
18Processor points12
12Net points16
30Algae points28
86Total teleop94
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points6
135Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.24.0
45.549.5
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
red by 17.4
32.83.7
29.633.2
Auto6.9
Teleop21.9
End4.0
Second
6078
#10
28.04.0
25.229.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
blue by 3.7
1684
#24
31.73.7
25.028.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Third
7772
#36
14.54.0
8.912.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End1.4
blue by 14.6
29.13.7
26.330.0
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned