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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68852040601001201408686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
58Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
86Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#15
24.4
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
blue by 17.8
42.2
Auto7.1
Teleop29.7
End5.4
Second
5612
#30
19.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End1.9
red by 5.0
6091
#13
15.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Third
13.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
red by 1.9
5183
#22
11.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned