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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13984406010012016018020010856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+44Teleop
+46Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points10
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
64Total teleop38
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +52
6Foul points0
108Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.80.4
57.557.1
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 30.3
3667
#12
27.50.5
28.227.7
Auto6.4
Teleop19.4
End1.8
Second
43.60.4
43.242.8
Auto14.5
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 18.3
8426
#35
25.30.5
26.025.5
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
Third
9251
#34
16.80.4
16.516.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 7.4
9572
#33
24.20.5
24.824.3
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9