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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618120401001201407798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
62Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points2
77Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3667
#12
27.50.6
27.628.2
Auto6.4
Teleop19.4
End1.8
blue by 4.2
1684
#24
31.71.0
28.729.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End1.9
Second
5612
#30
19.90.6
19.019.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End1.9
blue by 10.7
7784
#14
30.60.9
29.830.7
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
Third
9731
#26
12.30.6
11.712.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 1.3
13.61.1
12.613.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsEarned