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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391090501001502004576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +30
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
28Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
45Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6085
#25
20.50.1
19.819.9
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
blue by 29.8
50.21.3
49.548.2
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
Second
4395
#37
12.20.1
12.112.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End3.2
blue by 14.3
5907
#18
26.51.3
27.526.2
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
Third
5183
#22
11.60.1
11.511.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 3.4
6091
#13
15.01.4
16.415.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed